NBA Trade Verdict

Lakers Win

Lakers Win. Los Angeles receives A+ because Smith combined elite immediate defensive production with premium downstream trade utility. Buffalo receives A- because McMillian was a productive starter on a rising playoff team, making this far from a zero-return loss. The verdict is Lakers Win rather than a rout because the Braves converted Smith into real competitive value; the separation comes from Smith's second life as a Kareem-trade asset. Los Angeles received immediate value from Smith and then something much larger. Smith led the NBA in blocks in 1973-74, setting the still-standing single-game record of 17, and one year later he became one of the central players the Lakers sent to Milwaukee in the Kareem Abdul-Jabbar blockbuster. Because Smith himself was a direct outgoing asset in that later trade, the Kareem chain is legitimate downstream value rather than unrelated franchise history. The original exchange therefore supplied Los Angeles with both a high-level starting center and a bridge into the most important acquisition of its 1970s rebuild.

September 17, 1973 LA Clippers / Los Angeles Lakers Record confidence: Medium

Trade Analysis

Jim McMillian / Elmore Smith: What Actually Changed Hands

Buffalo, the franchise lineage represented by the Clippers record, sent 7-foot center Elmore Smith to the Lakers for scoring forward Jim McMillian in September 1973. Some historical accounts describe the episode through a broader Braves-history lens, while the documented transaction and Basketball Reference identify the actual one-for-one exchange as McMillian for Smith. This analysis grades that actual trade, not a mislabeled historical shorthand. Multi-team trades can contain several parallel exchanges, so the analysis considers the complete deal rather than only one team's portion. The full team list and official transaction releases are used to account for what each club actually received. That keeps the entire trade together in one account. The analysis credits only value tied directly to assets that changed hands in this deal. It credits direct player production, draft selections, contract value and later assets only when the later asset can be traced back to something that changed hands in this deal. That approach avoids giving a franchise credit for unrelated moves that happened years later, and it also prevents a losing side from being punished for decisions made with assets that were never part of the original exchange. When a later trade combines several pieces, only partial credit belongs to the asset that originated here.

Jim McMillian / Elmore Smith: Where the Best Value Emerged

Los Angeles received immediate value from Smith and then something much larger. Smith led the NBA in blocks in 1973-74, setting the still-standing single-game record of 17, and one year later he became one of the central players the Lakers sent to Milwaukee in the Kareem Abdul-Jabbar blockbuster. Because Smith himself was a direct outgoing asset in that later trade, the Kareem chain is legitimate downstream value rather than unrelated franchise history. The original exchange therefore supplied Los Angeles with both a high-level starting center and a bridge into the most important acquisition of its 1970s rebuild. Team context still matters. A contender can rationally pay more for immediate rotation value than a rebuilding team would, while a rebuilding club may prefer years of control and draft optionality. The grade therefore asks two questions at once: whether the decision fit the team's competitive window when it was made, and how much durable value the acquired package ultimately produced. A sensible process can finish with the weaker historical result without becoming an irrational decision. Grades are calibrated against the rest of the TradeVerdicts archive rather than against a fantasy outcome where every draft pick becomes a star. A-range returns require exceptional direct production, championship relevance, premium draft conversion or several durable pieces acquired at a reasonable cost. B-range returns are clearly useful but less transformative. C-range results are limited or short-lived, while D and F are reserved for pronounced, lasting value deficits. The verdict label describes the separation between the team grades.

Jim McMillian / Elmore Smith: What the Other Teams Still Received

Buffalo was not fleeced on the basketball floor. McMillian arrived as a proven scorer from the 1972 Lakers championship team and helped the Braves become a playoff club during the Bob McAdoo era. His scoring and wing size fit a team that already had elite frontcourt offense. The Braves received several seasons of genuine production, so the return deserves a strong grade even though it could not match what Smith later unlocked for Los Angeles. The analysis stays focused on the assets actually exchanged. It credits direct player production, draft selections, contract value and later assets only when the later asset can be traced back to something that changed hands in this deal. That approach avoids giving a franchise credit for unrelated moves that happened years later, and it also prevents a losing side from being punished for decisions made with assets that were never part of the original exchange. When a later trade combines several pieces, only partial credit belongs to the asset that originated here. Unresolved picks are treated as retained optionality rather than as guaranteed stars. A future first is worth materially more than a future second, but the grade does not assume a favorable lottery outcome before it happens. Likewise, a player who later becomes part of a larger package contributes only his share of that later return. This keeps the comparison useful even when parts of a trade take years to resolve.

Jim McMillian / Elmore Smith: The Asset Chain After the Trade

The decisive asset chain is unusually clean. Smith went from Buffalo to Los Angeles in this transaction and then from Los Angeles to Milwaukee in the June 1975 package for Abdul-Jabbar. The Lakers also sent Brian Winters, Dave Meyers and Junior Bridgeman in that later deal, so Smith cannot be credited with the entire value of Kareem. Still, he was a substantial, directly tied component, and trade grading should recognize that retained optionality. Buffalo's McMillian value was mostly direct on-court production rather than a later asset tree. Unresolved picks are treated as retained optionality rather than as guaranteed stars. A future first is worth materially more than a future second, but the grade does not assume a favorable lottery outcome before it happens. Likewise, a player who later becomes part of a larger package contributes only his share of that later return. This keeps the comparison useful even when parts of a trade take years to resolve. The analysis stays focused on the assets actually exchanged. It credits direct player production, draft selections, contract value and later assets only when the later asset can be traced back to something that changed hands in this deal. That approach avoids giving a franchise credit for unrelated moves that happened years later, and it also prevents a losing side from being punished for decisions made with assets that were never part of the original exchange. When a later trade combines several pieces, only partial credit belongs to the asset that originated here.

Jim McMillian / Elmore Smith: Timeline, Contract and Team Context

The Lakers were replacing an aging frontcourt after Wilt Chamberlain's final season and needed size immediately. Buffalo, built around McAdoo, could exchange a center for a proven championship-caliber forward. Both decisions made strategic sense in 1973. The historical grade separates that sound process from the eventual ceiling of each return: Buffalo solved a roster need and improved, while Los Angeles acquired a player who remained liquid enough to matter in a franchise-changing trade two years later. Team context still matters. A contender can rationally pay more for immediate rotation value than a rebuilding team would, while a rebuilding club may prefer years of control and draft optionality. The grade therefore asks two questions at once: whether the decision fit the team's competitive window when it was made, and how much durable value the acquired package ultimately produced. A sensible process can finish with the weaker historical result without becoming an irrational decision. Multi-team trades can contain several parallel exchanges, so the analysis considers the complete deal rather than only one team's portion. The full team list and official transaction releases are used to account for what each club actually received. That keeps the entire trade together in one account.

Jim McMillian / Elmore Smith: grading scale

Los Angeles receives A+ because Smith combined elite immediate defensive production with premium downstream trade utility. Buffalo receives A- because McMillian was a productive starter on a rising playoff team, making this far from a zero-return loss. The verdict is Lakers Win rather than a rout because the Braves converted Smith into real competitive value; the separation comes from Smith's second life as a Kareem-trade asset. Grades are calibrated against the rest of the TradeVerdicts archive rather than against a fantasy outcome where every draft pick becomes a star. A-range returns require exceptional direct production, championship relevance, premium draft conversion or several durable pieces acquired at a reasonable cost. B-range returns are clearly useful but less transformative. C-range results are limited or short-lived, while D and F are reserved for pronounced, lasting value deficits. The verdict label describes the separation between the team grades. Unresolved picks are treated as retained optionality rather than as guaranteed stars. A future first is worth materially more than a future second, but the grade does not assume a favorable lottery outcome before it happens. Likewise, a player who later becomes part of a larger package contributes only his share of that later return. This keeps the comparison useful even when parts of a trade take years to resolve.

Final Verdict

Lakers Win. Los Angeles received immediate value from Smith and then something much larger. Smith led the NBA in blocks in 1973-74, setting the still-standing single-game record of 17, and one year later he became one of the central players the Lakers sent to Milwaukee in the Kareem Abdul-Jabbar blockbuster. Because Smith himself was a direct outgoing asset in that later trade, the Kareem chain is legitimate downstream value rather than unrelated franchise history. The original exchange therefore supplied Los Angeles with both a high-level starting center and a bridge into the most important acquisition of its 1970s rebuild. Buffalo was not fleeced on the basketball floor. McMillian arrived as a proven scorer from the 1972 Lakers championship team and helped the Braves become a playoff club during the Bob McAdoo era. His scoring and wing size fit a team that already had elite frontcourt offense. The Braves received several seasons of genuine production, so the return deserves a strong grade even though it could not match what Smith later unlocked for Los Angeles. Los Angeles receives A+ because Smith combined elite immediate defensive production with premium downstream trade utility. Buffalo receives A- because McMillian was a productive starter on a rising playoff team, making this far from a zero-return loss. The verdict is Lakers Win rather than a rout because the Braves converted Smith into real competitive value; the separation comes from Smith's second life as a Kareem-trade asset. The final judgment follows only the directly tied trade details and the retained value still attached to unresolved picks.

For Hardcore NBA Heads

Deep Dive: Regrading Jim McMillian / Elmore Smith

Jim McMillian / Elmore Smith merits a deeper pass because the announcement-day headline does not capture every player, pick and follow-on asset that determined the final value. This review reconstructs the complete transaction, follows only defensible downstream chains and then aligns the canonical grades with the evidence.

Jim McMillian / Elmore Smith: Peak Value Versus Retained Value

Los Angeles received immediate value from Smith and then something much larger. Smith led the NBA in blocks in 1973-74, setting the still-standing single-game record of 17, and one year later he became one of the central players the Lakers sent to Milwaukee in the Kareem Abdul-Jabbar blockbuster. Because Smith himself was a direct outgoing asset in that later trade, the Kareem chain is legitimate downstream value rather than unrelated franchise history. The original exchange therefore supplied Los Angeles with both a high-level starting center and a bridge into the most important acquisition of its 1970s rebuild. Grades are calibrated against the rest of the TradeVerdicts archive rather than against a fantasy outcome where every draft pick becomes a star. A-range returns require exceptional direct production, championship relevance, premium draft conversion or several durable pieces acquired at a reasonable cost. B-range returns are clearly useful but less transformative. C-range results are limited or short-lived, while D and F are reserved for pronounced, lasting value deficits. The verdict label describes the separation between the team grades. The analysis stays focused on the assets actually exchanged. It credits direct player production, draft selections, contract value and later assets only when the later asset can be traced back to something that changed hands in this deal. That approach avoids giving a franchise credit for unrelated moves that happened years later, and it also prevents a losing side from being punished for decisions made with assets that were never part of the original exchange. When a later trade combines several pieces, only partial credit belongs to the asset that originated here.

Jim McMillian / Elmore Smith: Which Follow-On Assets Count

The decisive asset chain is unusually clean. Smith went from Buffalo to Los Angeles in this transaction and then from Los Angeles to Milwaukee in the June 1975 package for Abdul-Jabbar. The Lakers also sent Brian Winters, Dave Meyers and Junior Bridgeman in that later deal, so Smith cannot be credited with the entire value of Kareem. Still, he was a substantial, directly tied component, and trade grading should recognize that retained optionality. Buffalo's McMillian value was mostly direct on-court production rather than a later asset tree. The analysis stays focused on the assets actually exchanged. It credits direct player production, draft selections, contract value and later assets only when the later asset can be traced back to something that changed hands in this deal. That approach avoids giving a franchise credit for unrelated moves that happened years later, and it also prevents a losing side from being punished for decisions made with assets that were never part of the original exchange. When a later trade combines several pieces, only partial credit belongs to the asset that originated here. Unresolved picks are treated as retained optionality rather than as guaranteed stars. A future first is worth materially more than a future second, but the grade does not assume a favorable lottery outcome before it happens. Likewise, a player who later becomes part of a larger package contributes only his share of that later return. This keeps the comparison useful even when parts of a trade take years to resolve.

Jim McMillian / Elmore Smith: The Strongest Counterargument

The strongest case for Buffalo is that McMillian fit the Braves better than another center beside McAdoo and helped turn them into a serious Eastern Conference team. That is meaningful. The counterweight is that Smith's Lakers tenure was itself valuable before any later trade is considered, and the direct Kareem linkage pushes the Lakers' return beyond what McMillian alone produced. Team context still matters. A contender can rationally pay more for immediate rotation value than a rebuilding team would, while a rebuilding club may prefer years of control and draft optionality. The grade therefore asks two questions at once: whether the decision fit the team's competitive window when it was made, and how much durable value the acquired package ultimately produced. A sensible process can finish with the weaker historical result without becoming an irrational decision. Grades are calibrated against the rest of the TradeVerdicts archive rather than against a fantasy outcome where every draft pick becomes a star. A-range returns require exceptional direct production, championship relevance, premium draft conversion or several durable pieces acquired at a reasonable cost. B-range returns are clearly useful but less transformative. C-range results are limited or short-lived, while D and F are reserved for pronounced, lasting value deficits. The verdict label describes the separation between the team grades.

Jim McMillian / Elmore Smith: How the Competitive Windows Changed the Read

The Lakers were replacing an aging frontcourt after Wilt Chamberlain's final season and needed size immediately. Buffalo, built around McAdoo, could exchange a center for a proven championship-caliber forward. Both decisions made strategic sense in 1973. The historical grade separates that sound process from the eventual ceiling of each return: Buffalo solved a roster need and improved, while Los Angeles acquired a player who remained liquid enough to matter in a franchise-changing trade two years later. Team context still matters. A contender can rationally pay more for immediate rotation value than a rebuilding team would, while a rebuilding club may prefer years of control and draft optionality. The grade therefore asks two questions at once: whether the decision fit the team's competitive window when it was made, and how much durable value the acquired package ultimately produced. A sensible process can finish with the weaker historical result without becoming an irrational decision. Historical transaction dates can vary by a few days across archives; the trade uses September 17 while Basketball Reference lists September 12. The identity of the exchanged players is consistent across the primary public sources. The grade does not depend on the date discrepancy.

Jim McMillian / Elmore Smith: Why the Final Grades Land Here

Los Angeles receives A+ because Smith combined elite immediate defensive production with premium downstream trade utility. Buffalo receives A- because McMillian was a productive starter on a rising playoff team, making this far from a zero-return loss. The verdict is Lakers Win rather than a rout because the Braves converted Smith into real competitive value; the separation comes from Smith's second life as a Kareem-trade asset. Grades are calibrated against the rest of the TradeVerdicts archive rather than against a fantasy outcome where every draft pick becomes a star. A-range returns require exceptional direct production, championship relevance, premium draft conversion or several durable pieces acquired at a reasonable cost. B-range returns are clearly useful but less transformative. C-range results are limited or short-lived, while D and F are reserved for pronounced, lasting value deficits. The verdict label describes the separation between the team grades. Unresolved picks are treated as retained optionality rather than as guaranteed stars. A future first is worth materially more than a future second, but the grade does not assume a favorable lottery outcome before it happens. Likewise, a player who later becomes part of a larger package contributes only his share of that later return. This keeps the comparison useful even when parts of a trade take years to resolve.

Final Verdict

Lakers Win. Los Angeles receives A+ because Smith combined elite immediate defensive production with premium downstream trade utility. Buffalo receives A- because McMillian was a productive starter on a rising playoff team, making this far from a zero-return loss. The verdict is Lakers Win rather than a rout because the Braves converted Smith into real competitive value; the separation comes from Smith's second life as a Kareem-trade asset. The strongest case for Buffalo is that McMillian fit the Braves better than another center beside McAdoo and helped turn them into a serious Eastern Conference team. That is meaningful. The counterweight is that Smith's Lakers tenure was itself valuable before any later trade is considered, and the direct Kareem linkage pushes the Lakers' return beyond what McMillian alone produced. The full analysis still recognizes reasonable arguments for the other sides; it simply ranks the completed and retained value tied to this trade.

Research sources (8)