NFL Trade Verdict

The Jets acquired Aaron Rodgers plus 2023 first- and…

The Jets acquired Aaron Rodgers plus 2023 first- and fifth-round picks, while Green Bay received picks that became Lukas Van Ness, Luke Musgrave, Anders Carlson and a 2024 second-rounder later moved for additional capital. Rodgers tore his Achilles four snaps into 2023, then went 5-12 in 2024 despite 3,897 yards and 28 touchdowns. Green Bay received multiple young contributors and moved on cleanly to Jordan Love, making this an overwhelming Packers win.

Green Bay Packers Received

  • pick 2023 1st round pick (13th overall, Lukas Van Ness), 2023 2nd round pick (42nd overall, Luke Musgrave), 2023 6th round pick (207th overall, Anders Carlson ) and 2024 2nd round pick (41st overall subsequently traded, Kool-Aid McKinstry )

New York Jets Received

  • pick Aaron Rodgers, 2023 1st round pick (15th overall, Will McDonald) and 2023 5th round pick (170th overall subsequently traded, Christopher Smith)

Trade Analysis

The Jets made the 2023 trade because they believed Aaron Rodgers could turn a talented roster into an immediate Super Bowl contender. New York received Rodgers, pick No. 15 and pick No. 170. Green Bay received No. 13, No. 42, No. 207 and a conditional 2024 selection that became a second-rounder after Rodgers’ injury prevented it from escalating.

The Jets’ plan collapsed almost immediately. Rodgers tore his Achilles tendon four offensive snaps into the 2023 opener and missed the rest of the season. He returned in 2024 and produced respectable individual numbers — 3,897 passing yards, 28 touchdowns and 11 interceptions — but New York finished 5-12. The offense ranked near the bottom third of the league, the Jets missed the playoffs again and Rodgers was gone after the season. New York therefore received one full losing season plus four snaps from the centerpiece of a win-now trade.

Green Bay received several young pieces while transitioning to Jordan Love. The Packers selected Lukas Van Ness at No. 13; he has 8.5 sacks through three seasons. No. 42 became tight end Luke Musgrave, who has 65 catches for 649 yards. No. 207 became kicker Anders Carlson, and the 2024 second-rounder landed at No. 41. Green Bay traded that pick to New Orleans for Nos. 45, 168 and 190, extending the asset tree rather than simply taking the player ultimately selected at 41.

The Packers’ success is not dependent on every draft choice becoming a star. The trade allowed the franchise to exit an aging quarterback era, add multiple rookie-contract players and hand the offense to Love without paying Rodgers’ remaining years. New York accepted the opposite risk and received no playoff appearance.

The existing A+/D split remains appropriate. Green Bay executed a difficult transition about as well as possible. The Jets’ 2024 passing numbers keep them out of an F, but the central championship objective was never close to being met.

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