NFL Trade Verdict

Detroit Lions Win

Summary: Pittsburgh sent the rights to reigning NFL MVP Bill Dudley to Detroit and received a package that included the 1948 third overall pick (used on Bobby Layne). Dudley had won the 1946 rushing title and MVP; Layne would become a Hall of Fame quarterback. Analysis: On the surface, trading the defending MVP for a package including the Layne pick seems reasonable, but the execution muddies the picture. Pittsburgh never maximized Layne, eventually letting him go (see 1947-0024) before he became an elite QB. Dudley continued producing elsewhere. Slight Pittsburgh lean given the draft capital acquired, but the downstream mismanagement of the Layne asset diminishes this win substantially.

August 7, 1947 Pittsburgh SteelersDetroit Lions Confidence: high Tier: major

Trade Summary

Summary: Pittsburgh sent the rights to reigning NFL MVP Bill Dudley to Detroit and received a package that included the 1948 third overall pick (used on Bobby Layne). Dudley had won the 1946 rushing title and MVP; Layne would become a Hall of Fame quarterback. Analysis: On the surface, trading the defending MVP for a package including the Layne pick seems reasonable, but the execution muddies the picture. Pittsburgh never maximized Layne, eventually letting him go (see 1947-0024) before he became an elite QB. Dudley continued producing elsewhere. Slight Pittsburgh lean given the draft capital acquired, but the downstream mismanagement of the Layne asset diminishes this win substantially.

Trade Analysis

Summary: Pittsburgh sent the rights to reigning NFL MVP Bill Dudley to Detroit and received a package that included the 1948 third overall pick (used on Bobby Layne). Dudley had won the 1946 rushing title and MVP; Layne would become a Hall of Fame quarterback. Analysis: On the surface, trading the defending MVP for a package including the Layne pick seems reasonable, but the execution muddies the picture. Pittsburgh never maximized Layne, eventually letting him go (see 1947-0024) before he became an elite QB. Dudley continued producing elsewhere. Slight Pittsburgh lean given the draft capital acquired, but the downstream mismanagement of the Layne asset diminishes this win substantially. Detroit Lions received rights to Bill Dudley and gave up Bob Cifers / Bobby Cifers; Paul White (Grover); rights to Bob Chappius; 1948 first round pick (#3-Bobby Layne). The partner grade reflects the same value curve from the opposite side of the transaction.