Atlanta Falcons Win Tier: standard
Confidence: high
Jacksonville acquired suspended receiver Calvin Ridley from Atlanta in 2022 for conditional draft compensation that ultimately became a 2023 fifth-rounder and a 2024 third-rounder. Ridley returned in 2023 and gave the Jaguars a productive season, but he left in free agency after one year on the field. Atlanta converted an unavailable player into two picks, including Day 2 capital, giving the Falcons the stronger lasting value.
Assets Received
- Pick 2023 5th round pick (159th overall subsequently traded, Dontayvion Wicks)
- Pick 2024 3rd round pick (79th overall subsequently traded, Matt Goncalves)
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→ Detroit Lions Win Tier: standard
Confidence: high
Atlanta acquired former No. 3 pick Jeff Okudah from Detroit for a 2023 fifth-round choice. Okudah started nine games for the Falcons, recording 44 tackles and three passes defensed, but left after one season. Detroit gained pick No. 159 and moved on from a player outside its long-term plan while also creating roster and cap flexibility. Atlanta received a functional one-year starter, but Detroit's low-risk reset aged better.
Assets Received
- Pick 2023 5th round pick (159th overall subsequently traded, Dontayvion Wicks)
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→ Even Trade Tier: standard
Confidence: high
Detroit moved up three spots for Brian Branch, who became one of the league's most productive young defensive backs. Green Bay moved down, added pick No. 159 for Dontayvion Wicks, then flipped No. 48 to Tampa Bay for the choices used on Jayden Reed and Karl Brooks. Branch is the best single player, but Green Bay created three productive contributors. Both sides earned an excellent return.
Assets Received
- Pick 2023 2nd round pick (48th overall, subsequently traded to Tampa Bay)
- Pick 2023 5th round pick (159th overall, Dontayvion Wicks)
- Pick 2023 2nd round pick (45th overall, Brian Branch)
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→ Indianapolis/Baltimore Colts Win Tier: major
Confidence: high
Las Vegas sent picks 38 and 141 to Indianapolis to move three spots for tight end Michael Mayer. Mayer has started 32 games and produced 83 catches for 788 yards and three touchdowns through three seasons, useful production but below the expectations attached to the move. Indianapolis immediately traded No. 38 again and later moved No. 141, multiplying its draft capital. The Colts’ flexibility and Mayer’s modest output give Indianapolis the better side.
Assets Received
- Pick 2023 2nd round pick (35th overall, Michael Mayer)
- Pick 2023 2nd round pick (38th overall subsequently traded, Matthew Bergeron)
- Pick 2023 5th round pick (141st overall subsequently traded, Jaquelin Roy)
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→ Philadelphia Eagles Win Tier: standard
Confidence: medium
Philadelphia acquired Dontayvion Wicks from Green Bay for a 2026 fifth-round pick, No. 153 overall, and a 2027 sixth-round pick. Wicks arrived after producing 108 catches, 1,328 yards and 11 touchdowns over three Packers seasons, giving the Eagles another proven receiving option. The price was modest enough to support a B for Philadelphia, while Green Bay receives a C+ for turning depth into two selections.
Assets Received
- Pick 2026 5th round pick (153rd overall, Jager Burton)
- Pick a 2027 6th round pick
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