NFL Trade Verdict

Minnesota moved from No. 23 to No. 17 in 2024 for edge rusher…

Minnesota moved from No. 23 to No. 17 in 2024 for edge rusher Dallas Turner, sending Jacksonville four selections. Turner developed from a rookie reserve into a 10-game starter with eight sacks and four forced fumbles in 2025. Jacksonville still owns the stronger return because No. 23 became Brian Thomas Jr., who posted a 1,282-yard Pro Bowl rookie season, while the additional Jaguars assets provided extra value around him.

Jacksonville Jaguars Received

Minnesota Vikings Received

Trade Analysis

The Exchange

Minnesota paid heavily because Dallas Turner had fallen farther than expected in a first round dominated by offensive players. The Vikings sent Jacksonville picks 23 and 167 plus third- and fourth-round selections in 2025 to move up six spots to No. 17. Turner had been viewed as a potential top-10 talent and fit a defense that wanted another young edge rusher after reshaping the position around Jonathan Greenard and Andrew Van Ginkel.

Minnesota Vikings Return

Turner’s rookie year made the price look uncomfortable. He played 16 games without a start and finished with three sacks and an interception. His second season changed the evaluation considerably. In 2025, Turner played all 17 games, started 10, recorded eight sacks and three passes defensed, and forced four fumbles. That gave him 11 sacks through his first 33 regular-season games and showed the pass-rush development Minnesota was betting on when it traded up.

Jacksonville Jaguars Return

Jacksonville’s return still has the best player outcome so far. The Jaguars used No. 23 on Brian Thomas Jr., who caught 87 passes for 1,282 yards and 10 touchdowns as a rookie and earned a Pro Bowl selection. His second season was quieter — 48 catches for 707 yards and two touchdowns in 14 games — but he entered 2026 with 1,989 receiving yards through two seasons. The other pieces have added less. Keilan Robinson had a minimal role, and 2025 third-round pick Caleb Ransaw spent his rookie season on injured reserve. Jacksonville later moved the 2025 fourth-round asset, so the player eventually chosen at that slot should not be treated as a direct Jaguars selection from this trade.

Value in Hindsight

But Turner’s 2025 breakout meaningfully narrows the gap. Minnesota’s return is no longer a disappointing projection; it is a productive young pass rusher whose trajectory can still make the price look much more reasonable.

Final Verdict

Jacksonville remains the winner because Thomas has already delivered a Pro Bowl-caliber season at a premium position while the Jaguars also gained extra draft capital.

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